Predict football punt and kickoff return yards with fat-tailed distribution using GluonTS
FEBRUARY 2, 2023
There are around 3,000 and 4,000 plays from four NFL seasons (2018–2021) for punt and kickoff plays, respectively. Models were trained and cross-validated on the 2018, 2019, and 2020 seasons and tested on the 2021 season. To avoid leakage during cross-validation, we grouped all plays from the same game into the same fold.
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